Monday, December 8, 2008

Highest Career CMI

The two tables below show the Top 100 quarterbacks in terms of their career CMI. Surprising? Well, it should be. It doesn't meet with your expectations. Chad Pennington the best quarterback in history, terms of CMI. Well yes. And no. Keep in mind that Chad Pennington is no slouch - he has the 8th best all-time career QB Rating. As a matter of fact, the quarterbacks who have top 10 highest QB Ratings in history, are in the Top 10 in terms of CMI.


I have shown before, that CMI has been steadily increasing over time. So obviously, QBs in more recent years have had higher CMIs than earlier quarterbacks. But the list below does give us a different picture of the top quarterbacks in history compared to a similar list ranked by QB Rating.


CMI does not reward quarterbacks that throw a lot of touchdowns per se (see Dan Marino). It does reward quarterbacks that do not throw a lot of interceptions (see Troy Aikman). Think about the teams that these two quarterbacks played on. Dan Marino never had a quality running back for an extended period of time. Troy Aikman had, well, Emmitt Smith, he of the NFL-record 164 career rushing touchdowns. CMI doesn't penalize a quarterback for sharing the backfield with a good running back.


My goal is to eventually identify the best passers in history, using CMI. The way to do it (in order to account for the ever increasing average CMI), is to relate each quarterback to his peers. I am currently working on methodology that can do this "properly".

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